Collarspace Discussion Forums


Home  Login  Search 

RE: Housing prices could fall by 30 %.....!


View related threads: (in this forum | in all forums)

Logged in as: Guest
 
All Forums >> [Casual Banter] >> Off the Grid >> RE: Housing prices could fall by 30 %.....! Page: <<   < prev  1 2 [3]
Login
Message << Older Topic   Newer Topic >>
RE: Housing prices could fall by 30 %.....! - 12/10/2007 7:57:23 AM   
Termyn8or


Posts: 18681
Joined: 11/12/2005
Status: offline
I have given the example of real estate to illustrate that the economy is not what alot of people think. Because of market forces I now use a piece of undeveloped land, untouched land.

From what I said before one might conclude that falling real estate value is  good thing, that the dollar is climbing in value, but that is not the case. It is not even supply and demand, it is a breakdown. The American dream has turned into a nightmare.

There are other factors as well. You buy a quarter million dollar ivory tower with vaulted cielings and chandliers thirty feet up in the air, rolling acres and even a pond, then you find out that better construction methods were used to build the garage. This is no shit, one of my ex-lawyers was telling me all about it. And my buddy the "contractor" had practically a carreer reattaching the siding to one of these ivory towers. You see nails just don't grab styrofoam all that well.

I would not buy a new house, if I wanted a new house I would have it built and I would run the job. I would insist on brick and a wood frame, not those steel joists. These new houses are really junk, I know someone who simply had to abandon one, it literally fell apart. Their credit is wrecked and now they rent. There is no recourse because the construction company is out of business.

Alot of these places look great, nice and fancy, but I wouldn't give a plug nickel for them. They are junk. My house is about 100 years old, been remodeled yes, but it has some wood in it. It is not large, spacious nor elegant. But it is not for sale. So how does that fit into this ?

There are more and more people, and with the general socio-economic status falling, there are going to be plenty of ivory towers sitting empty while ten people cram into timy apartments in the inner city.

This is not an upturn in the value of the dollar, it is a collapse. Alot of people got rich building this junk and fled. I know a couple. Now they are not responsible for what they did. That is how life works now. Take the money and run.

However, that does not make real estate a bad investment. Even with the decrease in value, I don't see how money in the bank could possibly be better. One thing is for sure, we live in an economy with constant inflation, what that means is that the dollar is on a steady decline. If you can get your hands on an older house and fix it up, that is a great investment.

Just don't expect to get your money on demand.

T

(in reply to popeye1250)
Profile   Post #: 41
RE: Housing prices could fall by 30 %.....! - 12/10/2007 9:38:27 AM   
sappatoti


Posts: 14844
Joined: 10/30/2006
From: the edge of darkness...
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: ghitaPVH

...

unfortunanly the housing market is hurting us weekly though. right in the back pocket. no one's building. absolutly no one. they aint even putting in mobile homes anymore. the construction trade has ground to a screaching fucking halt.

...

90% of our friends are in some sort of a job that is based in the construction trade. no one has work. they've gone from having so much work they cant get it all done, to MAYBE getting one job a week. how the hell can anyone survive on 3 hours of work a week? and the majority of work anyone is getting is service and repair, or maybe a remodel here and there, but most people arent even sinking money into that sort of thing..and there are so many construction workers out of business that the competition for jobs is harsh.


I can echo ghita's statement here. I live about 70 or so miles to her south, and while that's closer to the convention, resort, and entertainment center around Orlando, about 70% of the folks in my town get their income from the construction business. We've got five or six large housing communities, with homes starting at $450,000 US within a five mile radius that are now sitting completely still; no workers, no work, just dust/sand blowing in the wind. There has been no work in these developments for going on close to a year now. As an aside, I feel badly for those homeowners who took possession of their homes right as the projects started, for they've been living there all along. Not only are they dealing with constant and persistent dust and sand of exposed acre after acre literally blowing around in the wind, making their lives a daily hassle with that (both inside and outside their luxury homes), but their property values are down approximately 40% or so during the past year alone -- due to falling prices in general and the piss-poor conditions that surround their properties.

Here in our area of Florida, it's believed by those involved in home construction that the housing crisis was kicked off by real estate investors. They saw an undervalued market and would order up new houses by the thousands to be built. They would then attempt to flip them around within one year after closing on them. As an example, in 2002 my parents had a 2500 sq ft home built for $150,000. Three months later, at their closing, the real estate agent came to them with offers from investors to purchase their home for between $225,000 and $250,000 on the spot. That's for a 3 bedroom, 2 1/2 bath, no pool property. Within three months, the value had suddenly appeared to be that much, and that was before the house was even completed! That inflated value came about because of the investors, who were looking for a quick buck. Luckily, my parents declined the offer, for they had built their house to live in, hopefully for the rest of their lives, and not as an investment tool.

In a subdivision of 80 or so homes, 15 of them are currently up for sale, and have been, for about a year. These were homes originally ordered and bought by investors who ended up not being successful in selling their homes for the exaggerated values they thought they were going to get. Luckily, none of them have gone into foreclosure, and someone representing the those investor/homeowners is taking care of those properties, so the overall value of the neighborhood hasn't been too adversely affected. Also, the neighborhood is comprised of retired, white collar professional, and business owners, so there is no problem with residents who are satisfied with lower standards of living. Overall, the values of homes have pretty much not taken a hit in that little community.

I do believe that this housing crisis, at least in my little corner of Florida, was born of greedy individuals and companies... from the home builders/developers (excluding the subcontractors here), to the mortgage lenders, to the real estate agents, down to the real estate investors. They artificially exaggerated the home values in this area, which could not be sustained by the realities of the local economy, are now suffering with a downward adjustment.

I don't think it's fair to ask those homeowners, who bought property within their means using non-risky mortgages (in other words, using common sense) to have to bear the bailouts of any of those greedy entities that are now crying about losing money and/or are going bankrupt. If it wasn't for them artificially inflating the housing prices to begin with, there wouldn't have been need for mortgage lenders to write risky loans and aggressively market them. I know it's simplistic just to say they should take their lumps and suffer the consequences of their actions, but a whole lot more of the economy is, unfortunately, tied into this problem.

For those who can do this, the best thing to do is to sit tight and ride out this "market correction."

< Message edited by sappatoti -- 12/10/2007 9:39:42 AM >


_____________________________

Never mind the man on the edge of the darkness... he means no harm...

"Community, Identity, Stability." ~ A Brave New World, Aldous Huxley, 1932

If you don't like my attitude, QUIT TALKING TO ME!

(in reply to ghitaPVH)
Profile   Post #: 42
RE: Housing prices could fall by 30 %.....! - 12/10/2007 10:12:06 AM   
xAdamx


Posts: 92
Joined: 4/8/2007
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: ghitaPVH

Im kind of lucky when it comes to personal property. There hasnt been a mortgage on my house in 50 years. All of my property is paid off and we have no intention of selling anytime soon. ok. ever. id like to aquire my aunts property next door when she dies, and I probably will be able to, they dont have any kids and their nephew three states away isnt really interested in it but he knows how important it is to everyone here that the property stays in the family, so since he doesnt need the money, he's planning on selling it to us for next to nothing. so the bad housemarket isnt really hurting us property wise, Im not too concerned about us or anyone in my neighborhood, we're here to stay, nothings gonna happen.

unfortunanly the housing market is hurting us weekly though. right in the back pocket. no one's building. absolutly no one. they aint even putting in mobile homes anymore. the construction trade has ground to a screaching fucking halt. if I had a mortgage or rent or a car payment to pay, we'd be drowing in debt. I dont know how the majority of blue collar workers in our area are manageing. I truly dont. 90% of our friends are in some sort of a job that is based in the construction trade. no one has work. they've gone from having so much work they cant get it all done, to MAYBE getting one job a week. how the hell can anyone survive on 3 hours of work a week? and the majority of work anyone is getting is service and repair, or maybe a remodel here and there, but most people arent even sinking money into that sort of thing..and there are so many construction workers out of business that the competition for jobs is harsh.


I don't think luck has anything to do with. Somewhere down the line someone in the family said, this is home...its a community, families build communities, house passes down the line...continuity.....a circle of life...well done....pass the house down...create community history..

_____________________________

Does exactly what it says on the can

(in reply to ghitaPVH)
Profile   Post #: 43
Page:   <<   < prev  1 2 [3]
All Forums >> [Casual Banter] >> Off the Grid >> RE: Housing prices could fall by 30 %.....! Page: <<   < prev  1 2 [3]
Jump to:





New Messages No New Messages
Hot Topic w/ New Messages Hot Topic w/o New Messages
Locked w/ New Messages Locked w/o New Messages
 Post New Thread
 Reply to Message
 Post New Poll
 Submit Vote
 Delete My Own Post
 Delete My Own Thread
 Rate Posts




Collarchat.com © 2025
Terms of Service Privacy Policy Spam Policy

0.047