RE: For or against Trident (Full Version)

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thompsonx -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 12:26:21 PM)

ORIGINAL: kdsub

Sure let the rest put out the money to protect you...


Who are they being protected from?






blnymph -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 12:27:07 PM)

well living in a country which had quite a few land based nuclear missiles (and nuclear bombers) on its territory over decades, being the supposed battlefield for WW III, and most short- and medium-range nuclear missiles targetting practically every town over 20.000 inhabitants country-wide -
I could only congratulate every politician who reduces the overkill capacity

from what I know everyone in Germany could have been killed 20 times by nuclear weapons during cold war era - in the meantime (sorry hearsay) reduced to 12 times - this is not deterrent at all since the choice about pushing the button or not would be not ours, and once the button is pushed survival is an option for none of us

and I guess even the North Koreans know that the war after a nuclear war will be fought with rocks and sticks





thompsonx -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 12:27:55 PM)

Trident is just a delivery system, and a suitcase or hang glider might do just as well.

Please tell us just how big this suitcase or hang glider needs to be to carry a nuclear device?[8|]




thompsonx -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 12:30:35 PM)

Suppose the North Korean Loony makes his/her threat while Britain still has nuclear weapons?

The best delivery system the n. koreans have will reach seattle...how is a "n.korean looney" going to attack g.b.?




freedomdwarf1 -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 12:32:34 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MariaB

But the bottom line is, Trident isn't independent, its merely a subsidy for Americas forward defence. If we are going to have a deterrent, then at least let it be an independent one. What's the point in a nuclear deterrent when another country has such huge control over our defence system? America has the ability to disable Trident in one foul swoop.

And all this stuff about Corbyn refusing to press the button. Even if Corbyn did press the button it would merely light up the real button in America and the American government would decide whether or not to press it.

Nope. Not true.

The last and most important man/woman to make that final decision is the Prime Minister.
In the event that he/she is not able to make that decision due to no contact, the Commander of the boat opens a sealed envelope that is locked in a safe with explicit instructions that he follows.
Every time there is a change of Prime Minister, the new Prime Minister has to write those instructions and the previous ones (in the safe) are destroyed without being opened or read.
Each and every submarine has a separate set of instructions stored in their own safe and there is no need for any communication between them - they act independently.

We are completely independant of the US in that regard.




PeonForHer -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 1:25:11 PM)

quote:

We are completely independant of the US in that regard.


We're also independent of the USA re the BBC Radio 4 rule. Apparently, if a nuke-holding British base or vessel can't pick up Radio 4 after a few days, it has carte blanche to press the button - because Radio 4 being off air for that long would mean that London had been wiped out.




MariaB -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 3:22:00 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1


quote:

ORIGINAL: MariaB

But the bottom line is, Trident isn't independent, its merely a subsidy for Americas forward defence. If we are going to have a deterrent, then at least let it be an independent one. What's the point in a nuclear deterrent when another country has such huge control over our defence system? America has the ability to disable Trident in one foul swoop.

And all this stuff about Corbyn refusing to press the button. Even if Corbyn did press the button it would merely light up the real button in America and the American government would decide whether or not to press it.

Nope. Not true.

The last and most important man/woman to make that final decision is the Prime Minister.
In the event that he/she is not able to make that decision due to no contact, the Commander of the boat opens a sealed envelope that is locked in a safe with explicit instructions that he follows.
Every time there is a change of Prime Minister, the new Prime Minister has to write those instructions and the previous ones (in the safe) are destroyed without being opened or read.
Each and every submarine has a separate set of instructions stored in their own safe and there is no need for any communication between them - they act independently.

We are completely independant of the US in that regard.

I think most of us know that there isn’t a red button on Cameron's desk that his cat could accidentally set off. I don’t understand the complexities of starting a nuclear war other than it being a very complex system. We can speculate the process but of course, none of us really know. What we do know is, Trident missiles can only be guided by US satellite signals and this requires US consent.


http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/defence-and-security-blog/2014/jul/01/trident-nuclear-weapons-uk This link is particularly interesting because it links to the Trident site where you can download various items pertinent to this topic.




MariaB -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 3:24:36 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: blnymph

well living in a country which had quite a few land based nuclear missiles (and nuclear bombers) on its territory over decades, being the supposed battlefield for WW III, and most short- and medium-range nuclear missiles targetting practically every town over 20.000 inhabitants country-wide -
I could only congratulate every politician who reduces the overkill capacity

from what I know everyone in Germany could have been killed 20 times by nuclear weapons during cold war era - in the meantime (sorry hearsay) reduced to 12 times - this is not deterrent at all since the choice about pushing the button or not would be not ours, and once the button is pushed survival is an option for none of us

and I guess even the North Koreans know that the war after a nuclear war will be fought with rocks and sticks



Yep, once the balloon goes off, we are all dust regardless.




freedomdwarf1 -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 3:47:18 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MariaB
I think most of us know that there isn’t a red button on Cameron's desk that his cat could accidentally set off. I don’t understand the complexities of starting a nuclear war other than it being a very complex system. We can speculate the process but of course, none of us really know. What we do know is, Trident missiles can only be guided by US satellite signals and this requires US consent.


http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/defence-and-security-blog/2014/jul/01/trident-nuclear-weapons-uk This link is particularly interesting because it links to the Trident site where you can download various items pertinent to this topic.


And in that very same report you linked to: "...and consider further steps to reduce Britain's operational stockpile of nuclear warheads to below 120".
Notice..... reduce Britain's operational stockpile of nuclear warheads...

We already have a stockpile of fully operational nuclear warheads and missiles.
Yes, it was a collaboration to design and build them in the first place.
But we have our own and are NOT dependent on the US to fire any one of them.

There isn't a 'Red Button' on the PM's desk but there IS a Red Button on each and every Trident sub (actually, there are two that have to be used in unison, with independent keys).
If there is any communication breakdown between the PM and a Trident sub's captain and the captain feels the UK is under a real threat, they can (and have the autonomous authority to do so) push those red buttons under his/her own discretion with no further consultation with our PM or anyone from the US.
And no, they do not use the US sattelite systems: "The missile uses an inertial guidance system combined with star-sighting, and is not dependent on GPS".

If (a big IF), Britain fires a live Trident nuke, the US would have to shoot it down as they have no way to stop the launch or stop the targetted flight path.
And having worked in that very industry (guidance system programming), I can tell you it would be a real nightmare to send the correct "Cancel" or "Abort" signal to it to shut it down.

The same would apply if any of the Ohio-class US Trident subs decided to fire one off.




NorthernGent -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 3:48:37 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: MariaB

I don't know if we have enough interested bodies on here for this debate but lets see.

If Britains new Labour leader (Jeremy Corbyn) was to get into power, he would rid us of our nuclear defence system 'Trident'.
On a personal level I'm all for it (getting rid of it) but I would be interested to know what others think?



Get rid. Let's take our chances. I don't believe for a second people in some far off place want to kill us. They quite probably don't even know we exist or that there's such a place called England.

Any spare money floating about should be put into education and health.





freedomdwarf1 -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 3:58:29 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: NorthernGent
Any spare money floating about should be put into education and health.

Yep. Quite agree.
The estimated £51bn needed to upgrade Trident would pay for an awful lot of teachers, doctors and nurses.
The £3-£4bn annual running costs of the new system could buy an awful lot of books and plasters!




blnymph -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 4:19:39 PM)

just a rhetorical question (since I expect every answer is still classified - and maybe I would not really want to know anyway):
what are the targets of all these warheads these days?

France admitted theirs still had German targets for quite some time after the cold war - just in case

Tactical nukes aim at possible battlefields - I am not a military expert but I guess that includes "friendly" territory too




MrRodgers -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 4:43:01 PM)

Reduce it, do everything possible to make it as cost-effective as possible but do not eliminate it entirely.




Politesub53 -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 4:53:50 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: PeonForHer

quote:

We are completely independant of the US in that regard.


We're also independent of the USA re the BBC Radio 4 rule. Apparently, if a nuke-holding British base or vessel can't pick up Radio 4 after a few days, it has carte blanche to press the button - because Radio 4 being off air for that long would mean that London had been wiped out.


Rightly so, anyone who fucks with radio 4 needs to perish. [8D]

It is a deterent, from anyone who has nuclear missiles. I dont think it hurts to keep it.




MercTech -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 5:33:22 PM)

Ok, over the cognitive dissonance.
I was wondering what people had against Trident Class submarines.




PeonForHer -> RE: For or against Trident (10/3/2015 5:35:35 PM)

quote:


Rightly so, anyone who fucks with radio 4 needs to perish.


True, according to HIGNFY last night. Weird protocol, but understandable, I guess.




DesideriScuri -> RE: For or against Trident (10/6/2015 8:10:51 AM)

quote:

]ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1
I can't see the point in having a 'deterrent' if the enemy know that nobody is ever going to push the button.
The whole point of a deterrent is that it is the ultimate weapon that would be used if it came to the crunch.
If it is never going to be used, it is no longer a deterrent.
And like Jeremy said, with all the nuclear power of the US, it didn't help with 9/11 did it?
It didn't help us with 7/7 either!
So what is the point in having a nuclear deterrent??
Unless there is a nuclear war, I really don't see the point at all.
And it'll save on the military budget for other more useful stuff.
If you want some sort of deterrent, keep what we already have.
But to spend £billions on upgrading it..... don't bother.


The US demonstrated that it was willing to push the button. I'm very glad there hasn't been a situation since WWII where it was determined the threat was great enough for use of nukes.

Had the 9/11 events been orchestrated by a Nation, there would have been a declaration of war against that nation (and not "terrorism"), and nuclear weapon use could have been on the table. But, I'd rather have nukes and never use them, than not have them and a situation arise where nukes are warranted.

As far as the UK having a nuke deterrent program, meh.
    1. Not my choice.
    2. As MariaB has noted, the UK is part of NATO, and the NATO pact includes defending NATO members that are attacked, so defense will eventually be there. That fact, in and of itself, provides some level of deterrent.
    3. If a deterrent for the most extreme of threats isn't wanted by the UK, then there you go.







freedomdwarf1 -> RE: For or against Trident (10/6/2015 8:25:20 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

]ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1
I can't see the point in having a 'deterrent' if the enemy know that nobody is ever going to push the button.
The whole point of a deterrent is that it is the ultimate weapon that would be used if it came to the crunch.
If it is never going to be used, it is no longer a deterrent.
And like Jeremy said, with all the nuclear power of the US, it didn't help with 9/11 did it?
It didn't help us with 7/7 either!
So what is the point in having a nuclear deterrent??
Unless there is a nuclear war, I really don't see the point at all.
And it'll save on the military budget for other more useful stuff.
If you want some sort of deterrent, keep what we already have.
But to spend £billions on upgrading it..... don't bother.


The US demonstrated that it was willing to push the button. I'm very glad there hasn't been a situation since WWII where it was determined the threat was great enough for use of nukes.

Had the 9/11 events been orchestrated by a Nation, there would have been a declaration of war against that nation (and not "terrorism"), and nuclear weapon use could have been on the table. But, I'd rather have nukes and never use them, than not have them and a situation arise where nukes are warranted.

As far as the UK having a nuke deterrent program, meh.
    1. Not my choice.
    2. As MariaB has noted, the UK is part of NATO, and the NATO pact includes defending NATO members that are attacked, so defense will eventually be there. That fact, in and of itself, provides some level of deterrent.
    3. If a deterrent for the most extreme of threats isn't wanted by the UK, then there you go.





This is the point Desi, the US could and would push the button if it came to it.
The new labour leader in the UK has stated categorically that he would not, no matter what.

So that makes Trident somewhat redundant, does it not??
If the enemy know that it is never ever going to be used no matter what the provocation, what's the point in having it?
It's like having your favourite gun hanging on the wall, locked in a glass case with the firing pin removed and the barrel welded shut. It would be nothing more than a decorative ornament.
And in the case of Trident, a very expensive ornament at that!




freedomdwarf1 -> RE: For or against Trident (10/6/2015 8:57:49 AM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: blnymph

just a rhetorical question (since I expect every answer is still classified - and maybe I would not really want to know anyway):
what are the targets of all these warheads these days?

France admitted theirs still had German targets for quite some time after the cold war - just in case

Tactical nukes aim at possible battlefields - I am not a military expert but I guess that includes "friendly" territory too

I can't say much as I am still obligated by the Official Secrets Act.
But what I can say is that no nuclear warhead (in the UK) has a target until it is activated and ready to launch.
That is because the circuitry is isolated and dead until it is turned on by the guidance system.
That's one of the 'safety features' built in to the launch sequence.

If a nuke should ever get launched without a target specified, it's default is to go straight up and to detonate when the detected altitude starts to drop. In other words, it'll explode as soon as it starts to come down.
The idea behind this is that it explodes at the highest altitude, the furthest away from civilisation as it can get.
That might sound strange as people have questioned why should it be armed at all?
The problem is that the warhead is very likely to explode on impact if it ever landed even if it wasn't specifically armed. So that is why the decision was made to make it explode at the highest detected altitude as the default rather than let it fall to earth.
So what is to stop an enemy from fooling the altitude electronics? Nothing at all. The backup system is a very simple barometer-style piece of engineering that relies on horsehair and a simple mercury switch (no electronics except a piece of wire). Whichever detects the altitude drop first will trigger the explosion.
Crude, but effective; and almost tamper-proof.




DesideriScuri -> RE: For or against Trident (10/6/2015 10:24:44 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:

]ORIGINAL: freedomdwarf1
I can't see the point in having a 'deterrent' if the enemy know that nobody is ever going to push the button.
The whole point of a deterrent is that it is the ultimate weapon that would be used if it came to the crunch.
If it is never going to be used, it is no longer a deterrent.
And like Jeremy said, with all the nuclear power of the US, it didn't help with 9/11 did it?
It didn't help us with 7/7 either!
So what is the point in having a nuclear deterrent??
Unless there is a nuclear war, I really don't see the point at all.
And it'll save on the military budget for other more useful stuff.
If you want some sort of deterrent, keep what we already have.
But to spend £billions on upgrading it..... don't bother.

The US demonstrated that it was willing to push the button. I'm very glad there hasn't been a situation since WWII where it was determined the threat was great enough for use of nukes.
Had the 9/11 events been orchestrated by a Nation, there would have been a declaration of war against that nation (and not "terrorism"), and nuclear weapon use could have been on the table. But, I'd rather have nukes and never use them, than not have them and a situation arise where nukes are warranted.
As far as the UK having a nuke deterrent program, meh.
    1. Not my choice.
    2. As MariaB has noted, the UK is part of NATO, and the NATO pact includes defending NATO members that are attacked, so defense will eventually be there. That fact, in and of itself, provides some level of deterrent.
    3. If a deterrent for the most extreme of threats isn't wanted by the UK, then there you go.

This is the point Desi, the US could and would push the button if it came to it.
The new labour leader in the UK has stated categorically that he would not, no matter what.
So that makes Trident somewhat redundant, does it not??
If the enemy know that it is never ever going to be used no matter what the provocation, what's the point in having it?
It's like having your favourite gun hanging on the wall, locked in a glass case with the firing pin removed and the barrel welded shut. It would be nothing more than a decorative ornament.
And in the case of Trident, a very expensive ornament at that!


How long is Corbyn going to be the one in charge? How much is it going to cost to shutter the program and bring it back up after Corbyn is gone (if that's the chosen route)?

I understand what you're saying, and the point you're making. I wonder if Corbyn would ever change his mind. I mean, he's a politician, right? Politicians aren't exactly known for being completely open and honest (at least in America, or, as PoliteSub has pointed out many times, if you're Cameron Blair).




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