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DesideriScuri -> RE: Gerrymandering could be on the way out (7/1/2015 3:04:53 AM)
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quote:
ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01 quote:
ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri quote:
ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01 quote:
ORIGINAL: BamaD quote:
ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01 There is no way, the Republicans have a majority in the House without gerrymandering. Not a chance. Only because that is what you want to believe. I want to believe it, because the numbers say it is true. Take 2012 for example. Actual share of popular vote VS actual share of seats occupied: http://assets.motherjones.com/interactives/projects/2012/11/gerrymandering/stacked-gop.png Pretty graphics are but circumstantial evidence, not necessarily proof. If the percentage of Republican seats statewide greatly exceeds the percentage of Republican votes statewide... How can there be ANY other cause than the district lines drawn? The idea that gerrymandering is the cause might have merit, but it isn't guaranteed to have merit. As a an extreme hypothetical, if zero Republicans in large city areas, and zero Democrats voted in rural areas, equal numbers of votes could be had, but it can also lead to a different result in the seat assignments. I do admit I did not support the way Ohio redistricted. Taking a Section of Cleveland (Dennis Kucinich's District) and connecting it to a section of Toledo (Marcy Kaptur's District) by a sliver of land along the Southern shore of Lake Erie, was just ridiculous. Yes, Ohio lost 2 seats, but that's not proper representation by any stretch. To sum up, that graphic isn't proof that gerrymandering is the cause. That's not to say it isn't correct, it's just not proof.
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