Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (Full Version)

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Phydeaux -> Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/27/2013 6:42:29 PM)

http://www.realclearenergy.org/

Excerpts:

"Former NASA scientist James Hansen, whose 1988 Senate testimony launched global warming into US politics, once compared trains carrying coal to power stations to those carrying Jews to the Nazi concentration camps. In 2008, on the 20th anniversary of his testimony, Hansen called for the chief executives of coal and oil companies to be tried for “high crimes” against humanity and nature."

Yeah: coal = Holocaust. No appeals to emotion there. Thats 'science'.

"On this, President Obama should talk to the White House head of regulatory affairs in his first term, Cass Sunstein.

In a 2007 paper, Sunstein analyzed the costs and benefits to the United States of world action to preserve the ozone layer and from participating in the Kyoto Protocol on global warming. He concluded that of all the nations of the world, America had the most to gain from global action on the ozone layer, but also had the most to lose from ratifying the Kyoto Protocol. His figures suggested that each $1 billion the United States spent complying with Kyoto would yield it only $37 million in benefits."

"And without an effective international agreement, there are no benefits. Any cuts in emissions from the EPA’s war on coal will be outweighed by the fast-growing carbon footprints of developing nations.

Obama should know. He was there in December 2009 when India and China vetoed the Copenhagen attempt to reach global agreement. Before and since, the big developing economies made clear that they saw global warming as a problem created by industrialized nations, and thus theirs to solve. They simply aren’t prepared to stop raising their people out of poverty, as capping emissions would force them to do.

Today, even as Obama’s EPA starts to shut down US coal plants, China is building around 40 coal-fired power plants a year. Coal provides India with over half its electricity. "

China- not willing to stop lifting its people out of poverty.
Obama - perfectly happy to lower its people *into* poverty.






Hillwilliam -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/27/2013 7:43:19 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

http://www.realclearenergy.org/

Excerpts:

"Former NASA scientist James Hansen, whose 1988 Senate testimony launched global warming into US politics, once compared trains carrying coal to power stations to those carrying Jews to the Nazi concentration camps. In 2008, on the 20th anniversary of his testimony, Hansen called for the chief executives of coal and oil companies to be tried for “high crimes” against humanity and nature."

Yeah: coal = Holocaust. No appeals to emotion there. Thats 'science'.

"On this, President Obama should talk to the White House head of regulatory affairs in his first term, Cass Sunstein.

In a 2007 paper, Sunstein analyzed the costs and benefits to the United States of world action to preserve the ozone layer and from participating in the Kyoto Protocol on global warming. He concluded that of all the nations of the world, America had the most to gain from global action on the ozone layer, but also had the most to lose from ratifying the Kyoto Protocol. His figures suggested that each $1 billion the United States spent complying with Kyoto would yield it only $37 million in benefits."

"And without an effective international agreement, there are no benefits. Any cuts in emissions from the EPA’s war on coal will be outweighed by the fast-growing carbon footprints of developing nations.

Obama should know. He was there in December 2009 when India and China vetoed the Copenhagen attempt to reach global agreement. Before and since, the big developing economies made clear that they saw global warming as a problem created by industrialized nations, and thus theirs to solve. They simply aren’t prepared to stop raising their people out of poverty, as capping emissions would force them to do.

Today, even as Obama’s EPA starts to shut down US coal plants, China is building around 40 coal-fired power plants a year. Coal provides India with over half its electricity. "

China- not willing to stop lifting its people out of poverty.
Obama - perfectly happy to lower its people *into* poverty.




The Ozone layer and regulations to prevent thinning of the same have absolutely nothing to do with global warming.

Actually, the Southern hemisphere nations have the most to gain from Ozone regulations as can be seen by their drastic increase in cancer rates associated with Chlorofluorocarbon use and the associated increase in UV reaching the surface.

Your post seems a bit inconsistent as these are 2 totally separate atmospheric problems being lumped together.




DaNewAgeViking -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/27/2013 8:55:43 PM)

Well, yeah, but you're talking about two particular instances of Wingnut heartburn here, so what are you so surprised about?
[sm=beatdeadhorse.gif]




Phydeaux -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 9:08:51 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

http://www.realclearenergy.org/

Excerpts:

"Former NASA scientist James Hansen, whose 1988 Senate testimony launched global warming into US politics, once compared trains carrying coal to power stations to those carrying Jews to the Nazi concentration camps. In 2008, on the 20th anniversary of his testimony, Hansen called for the chief executives of coal and oil companies to be tried for “high crimes” against humanity and nature."

Yeah: coal = Holocaust. No appeals to emotion there. Thats 'science'.

"On this, President Obama should talk to the White House head of regulatory affairs in his first term, Cass Sunstein.

In a 2007 paper, Sunstein analyzed the costs and benefits to the United States of world action to preserve the ozone layer and from participating in the Kyoto Protocol on global warming. He concluded that of all the nations of the world, America had the most to gain from global action on the ozone layer, but also had the most to lose from ratifying the Kyoto Protocol. His figures suggested that each $1 billion the United States spent complying with Kyoto would yield it only $37 million in benefits."

"And without an effective international agreement, there are no benefits. Any cuts in emissions from the EPA’s war on coal will be outweighed by the fast-growing carbon footprints of developing nations.

Obama should know. He was there in December 2009 when India and China vetoed the Copenhagen attempt to reach global agreement. Before and since, the big developing economies made clear that they saw global warming as a problem created by industrialized nations, and thus theirs to solve. They simply aren’t prepared to stop raising their people out of poverty, as capping emissions would force them to do.

Today, even as Obama’s EPA starts to shut down US coal plants, China is building around 40 coal-fired power plants a year. Coal provides India with over half its electricity. "

China- not willing to stop lifting its people out of poverty.
Obama - perfectly happy to lower its people *into* poverty.




The Ozone layer and regulations to prevent thinning of the same have absolutely nothing to do with global warming.

Actually, the Southern hemisphere nations have the most to gain from Ozone regulations as can be seen by their drastic increase in cancer rates associated with Chlorofluorocarbon use and the associated increase in UV reaching the surface.

Your post seems a bit inconsistent as these are 2 totally separate atmospheric problems being lumped together.


I didn't write the article Hill. I don't think the fault is the writer of the article either but Sunstein's.

Notice it said he analyzed the costs of global warming and ozone - together.
Why he chose to do that I can't say. But attacking the fact that he did so is rather specious. Suppose all the benefit derived from global warming, soley, none from ozone. Thats the best case for your argument.

So what - its still a billion dollars for 37 mil of improvement. This is similar to the study by the economist from cornell that found the best course of action (even if the 2007 ipcc was right) was to do nothing for another 50 years.

So let me ask you a direct question. Hansen was one of the top 3 leaders of the global warming movement in the US, if not the top scientist.

Does that testimony sound to you like the testiomny of a scientist? Or does it sound more like someone that has religious fervor?

One or the other: solely that quote.




DomKen -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 1:01:36 PM)

No matter what it cost to protect the ozone it was necessary to stop releasing ozone destroying chemicals. Terrestrial life absolutely must have the ozone layer to block the damaging ultraviolet. The dramatic increase in skin cancer rates can be directly tied to the decease in the density of the ozone layer caused by the release of ozone destroying compounds by man which is especially concerning considering that in the US most people spend much less time outdoors but skin cancer rates have been going up by almost 3% per year for at least the last 30 years.
http://www.aad.org/media-resources/stats-and-facts/conditions/skin-cancer

So yes the author of the article is simply full of shit.




Hillwilliam -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 1:35:45 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux



I didn't write the article Hill. I don't think the fault is the writer of the article either but Sunstein's.

Notice it said he analyzed the costs of global warming and ozone - together.
Why he chose to do that I can't say. But attacking the fact that he did so is rather specious. Suppose all the benefit derived from global warming, soley, none from ozone. Thats the best case for your argument.

So what - its still a billion dollars for 37 mil of improvement. This is similar to the study by the economist from cornell that found the best course of action (even if the 2007 ipcc was right) was to do nothing for another 50 years.

So let me ask you a direct question. Hansen was one of the top 3 leaders of the global warming movement in the US, if not the top scientist.

Does that testimony sound to you like the testiomny of a scientist? Or does it sound more like someone that has religious fervor?

One or the other: solely that quote.

You didn't write but you posted it. Most people post things they understand and either approve or don't approve of.

Now, I ask. If the author was so fucking scientifically illiterate he didn't know the difference between ozone and global warming, why would you think his numbers were right?




Phydeaux -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 6:59:53 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux



I didn't write the article Hill. I don't think the fault is the writer of the article either but Sunstein's.

Notice it said he analyzed the costs of global warming and ozone - together.
Why he chose to do that I can't say. But attacking the fact that he did so is rather specious. Suppose all the benefit derived from global warming, soley, none from ozone. Thats the best case for your argument.

So what - its still a billion dollars for 37 mil of improvement. This is similar to the study by the economist from cornell that found the best course of action (even if the 2007 ipcc was right) was to do nothing for another 50 years.

So let me ask you a direct question. Hansen was one of the top 3 leaders of the global warming movement in the US, if not the top scientist.

Does that testimony sound to you like the testiomny of a scientist? Or does it sound more like someone that has religious fervor?

One or the other: solely that quote.

You didn't write but you posted it. Most people post things they understand and either approve or don't approve of.

Now, I ask. If the author was so fucking scientifically illiterate he didn't know the difference between ozone and global warming, why would you think his numbers were right?


Didn't think you'd answer the question. Why should I answer yours when you won't reciprocate?
Have a nice day Hill.




Hillwilliam -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 7:20:05 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux


quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux



I didn't write the article Hill. I don't think the fault is the writer of the article either but Sunstein's.

Notice it said he analyzed the costs of global warming and ozone - together.
Why he chose to do that I can't say. But attacking the fact that he did so is rather specious. Suppose all the benefit derived from global warming, soley, none from ozone. Thats the best case for your argument.

So what - its still a billion dollars for 37 mil of improvement. This is similar to the study by the economist from cornell that found the best course of action (even if the 2007 ipcc was right) was to do nothing for another 50 years.

So let me ask you a direct question. Hansen was one of the top 3 leaders of the global warming movement in the US, if not the top scientist.

Does that testimony sound to you like the testiomny of a scientist? Or does it sound more like someone that has religious fervor?

One or the other: solely that quote.

You didn't write but you posted it. Most people post things they understand and either approve or don't approve of.

Now, I ask. If the author was so fucking scientifically illiterate he didn't know the difference between ozone and global warming, why would you think his numbers were right?


Didn't think you'd answer the question. Why should I answer yours when you won't reciprocate?
Have a nice day Hill.

I'll answer your question. It sounds like neither. It sounds like a partisan hatchet job by an ignorant author who combined 2 totally different problems to impress ignorant people.

Global warming and ozone are totally separate issues caused by totally separate pollutants with totally separate consequences and solutions (catching on yet?)

This is about the 4th time you've posted something from realclearenergy.com and the same number of times I've shot the shit out of it. Can you see a pattern?
Maybe your source is biased to the point of uselessness.




Phydeaux -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 7:30:28 PM)



Still not answering the question. You've not disputed what Hanson said. Do you?
Do you think the author's credibility is so poor as to be a direct lie - then find a source that says so.

So does Hansons words - that coal is the same as the holocaust; are those the words of a scientist?

The fact is Hanson was a ideologically driven hack that embarassed Nasa.




Phydeaux -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 7:35:33 PM)

Oh and here's another paper from Cass Sunstein

In a lengthy academic paper, President Obama’s regulatory czar, Cass Sunstein, argued the U.S. government should ban “conspiracy theorizing.”

Among the beliefs Sunstein would ban is advocating that the theory of global warming is a deliberate fraud.

Sunstein also recommended the government send agents to infiltrate “extremists who supply conspiracy theories” to disrupt the efforts of the “extremists” to propagate their theories.

In a 2008 Harvard law paper, “Conspiracy Theories,” Sunstein and co-author Adrian Vermeule, a Harvard law professor, ask, “What can government do about conspiracy theories?”

“We can readily imagine a series of possible responses. (1) Government might ban conspiracy theorizing. (2) Government might impose some kind of tax, financial or otherwise, on those who disseminate such theories.”




And how does that sound? Does that sound like a mainstream idea? Does it sound constitutional? Does that sound like free speach?
Read more at http://www.wnd.com/2010/01/121884/#SmsihtouOjDeDQH4.99




DomKen -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 8:19:24 PM)

You believed WND? Really?

The paper is on the possible dangers posed by crazies who believe crazy shit. Which is obviously a problem just consider the Boston bombing.
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1084585




Hillwilliam -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 9:23:50 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux



Still not answering the question. You've not disputed what Hanson said. Do you?
Do you think the author's credibility is so poor as to be a direct lie - then find a source that says so.

So does Hansons words - that coal is the same as the holocaust; are those the words of a scientist?

The fact is Hanson was a ideologically driven hack that embarassed Nasa.

You gave 2 choices when there are a dozen or more possibilities. You learned that tactic from thompson didn't you?
1. There's no way to check your claims. Your link goes to the homepage of realclearenergy so I have no way to check to see what was hacked out of context and what was just hacked. A bit of persual shows them to be some serious tinfoilers.

That's kind of like arguing about the war of 1812 and giving, as a reference, Wikipedia.com without anything else. "Well, it's in there"[8|]

Find the article so I can actually read it before I'll answer your "Have you stopped beating your wife" type questions.




DomKen -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/28/2013 10:04:01 PM)

The article isn't anywhere on the site linked to in the OP. Google says it's a NY Post editorial
http://nypost.com/2013/09/26/obama-administration-killing-jobs-pointlessly/

The author, Rupert Darwall, is a professional denier with no scientific credentials at all.

As to the Hansen quotes, it is hyperbolic but as usual the deniers have blown it way out of proportion.
quote:

“Coal will determine whether we continue to increase climate change or slow the human impact. Increased fossil fuel CO2 in the air today, compared to the pre-industrial atmosphere, is due 50% to coal, 35% to oil and 15% to gas. As oil resources peak, coal will determine future CO2 levels. Recently, after giving a high school commencement talk in my hometown, Denison, Iowa, I drove from Denison to Dunlap, where my parents are buried. For most of 20 miles there were trains parked, engine to caboose, half of the cars being filled with coal. If we cannot stop the building of more coal-fired power plants, those coal trains will be death trains – no less gruesome than if they were boxcars headed to crematoria, loaded with uncountable irreplaceable species.”

http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/11/26/holocausts/?_r=0




Phydeaux -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/29/2013 10:55:21 AM)

I gave the link to the entire article hill. Not my fault if its not there any more. And I didn't hack the article to change the meaning.

regarding Dom Ken - thats not the quote in question. That was hansens cleaned up quote after his original prompted quite an uproar. I'll see if I can find a cite to the original.




DomKen -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/29/2013 1:02:38 PM)


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

I gave the link to the entire article hill. Not my fault if its not there any more. And I didn't hack the article to change the meaning.

regarding Dom Ken - thats not the quote in question. That was hansens cleaned up quote after his original prompted quite an uproar. I'll see if I can find a cite to the original.

It was never where the link pointed. There is this nifty thing called Google that indexes sites very frequently and the quote in question appears no where but the NY Post site.

And that is the actual quote it is not cleaned up.




Hillwilliam -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/29/2013 3:46:26 PM)

I saw it within an hour of you posting it and it was exactly as it is right now.




popeye1250 -> RE: Kyoto: 37 mil in benefits, 1 Bil in costs (9/30/2013 12:49:47 AM)

Didn't the u.s. senate vote against "KYOTO" by something like 99 to 1?




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