IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (Full Version)

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Marini -> IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/27/2012 8:47:31 PM)

Here are 10 things that will hurt/effect MANY of us, IF a deal is not made in the next 4 days.

Copied directly from this link in today's Huffington Post.

Fiscal Cliff Taxes Hikes and More Scary Things That Could Happen Jan. 1

10 ways below are copied directly "From The Huffington Post | Article written By Catherine New
Posted: 12/27/2012 3:06 pm EST | Updated: 12/27/2012 3:38 pm EST"


Here are 10 ways your money could be affected if there is no deal reached by the end of the year:

1. Your Income Tax Rates Will Go Up The expiration of the Bush-era tax cuts on Dec. 31 means nearly every American taxpayer will see their rates go up when the rates go back to their 2001 levels. President Obama’s plan to avert the cliff includes keeping the current rates for middle- and low-income earners, while allowing the rates to increase for the highest income levels from 35 to 39.6 percent. Republicans have pushed to keep the tax cuts for everyone.

2.Your 2012 Tax Bill Will Be Huge As many as 28 million Americans are about to be slammed with the alternative minimum tax because a "patch" to adjust the AMT for inflation will not go into effect unless Congress acts. For middle-class households with kids and earning around $75,000, the AMT will add $3,700 on average to the tax bill for 2012 alone.

3.Your Paycheck Will Be Smaller The first paycheck of the year is going to be smaller for up to 125 million Americans after the Social Security payroll tax holiday expires on Dec. 31, raising the rate from 4.2 to 6.2 percent.

4.Your Tax Refund Will Be Delayed The Internal Revenue Service has said that without a deal by Dec. 31, tax refunds could be delayed for as many as 100 million taxpayers as the government agency scrambles to revise tax forms to reflect the changes post-cliff.

5. Your Kids Will Cost You More Money Among the tax credits that expire on Dec. 31 are several that help lower- and middle-income families with kids, including the Child Tax Credit, Earned Income Tax Credit, Child and Dependent Care Credit, and the American Opportunity Credit. All four revert to lower levels on Jan. 1, which could cost families hundreds to thousands of dollars in lost tax credits, according to CNN Money.

6.You Cannot Collect Extended Unemployment As many 2 million unemployed Americans won’t be able to collect extended benefits after Jan. 1, when the federal government’s unemployment extension ends as part of automatic spending cuts.

7.Your Stocks Could Wobble The stock market tumbled on Thursday after Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) said it looked like the the country was going to go over the fiscal cliff. Uncertainty over taxes could create more market volatility, experts say, but there is a silver lining: The Fed has promised to keep interest rates low for the next year, and that could help stabilize the economy overall.

8.If You Use Medicare, It Will Be Harder To Find A Doctor One of the spending cuts that will be enacted on Jan. 1 is a 30 percent reduction in the rates Medicare pays doctors. According to physicians' groups, the pending change has already sent doctors fleeing some health care plans, Forbes reported.

9.Finding A New Job Will Be More Difficult Mandatory spending cuts slated to start on Jan. 1 will cut into government jobs and jobs dependent on federal contracts. One report from George Mason University estimated that the cuts could cost 2.14 million jobs, the Christian Science Monitor reported.


10.High Earners Will Pay New Taxes For Obamacare High-earning taxpayers will pay a new 3.8 percent tax hike on net investment income, including income from interest, dividends, capital gains, rental and royalty income. Much of that same income group is also subject to a new .9 percent increase in Medicare taxes. These tax hikes are part of the Affordable Care Act and go into effect on Jan. 1.

Damn, Damn, Damn

I have very little confidence that they can come up with anything remotely well thought out and planned at this late hour.
I still think they need to kick this can down the road, and take however long it takes to work things out.

Whatever happens, Mr. and Mrs. Average Joe Working Citizen is getting ready to get kicked in the ass.

[sm=dunno.gif]




DesideriScuri -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/27/2012 9:22:38 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Marini
Here are 10 things that will hurt/effect MANY of us, IF a deal is not made in the next 4 days.
Copied directly from this link in today's Huffington Post.
Fiscal Cliff Taxes Hikes and More Scary Things That Could Happen Jan. 1
10 ways below are copied directly "From The Huffington Post | Article written By Catherine New
Posted: 12/27/2012 3:06 pm EST | Updated: 12/27/2012 3:38 pm EST"

Here are 10 ways your money could be affected if there is no deal reached by the end of the year:
1. Your Income Tax Rates Will Go Up The expiration of the Bush-era tax cuts on Dec. 31 means nearly every American taxpayer will see their rates go up when the rates go back to their 2001 levels. President Obama’s plan to avert the cliff includes keeping the current rates for middle- and low-income earners, while allowing the rates to increase for the highest income levels from 35 to 39.6 percent. Republicans have pushed to keep the tax cuts for everyone.
2.Your 2012 Tax Bill Will Be Huge As many as 28 million Americans are about to be slammed with the alternative minimum tax because a "patch" to adjust the AMT for inflation will not go into effect unless Congress acts. For middle-class households with kids and earning around $75,000, the AMT will add $3,700 on average to the tax bill for 2012 alone.
4.Your Tax Refund Will Be Delayed The Internal Revenue Service has said that without a deal by Dec. 31, tax refunds could be delayed for as many as 100 million taxpayers as the government agency scrambles to revise tax forms to reflect the changes post-cliff.
5. Your Kids Will Cost You More Money Among the tax credits that expire on Dec. 31 are several that help lower- and middle-income families with kids, including the Child Tax Credit, Earned Income Tax Credit, Child and Dependent Care Credit, and the American Opportunity Credit. All four revert to lower levels on Jan. 1, which could cost families hundreds to thousands of dollars in lost tax credits, according to CNN Money.


Won't this affect 2013 wages, not 2012?

quote:

8.If You Use Medicare, It Will Be Harder To Find A Doctor One of the spending cuts that will be enacted on Jan. 1 is a 30 percent reduction in the rates Medicare pays doctors. According to physicians' groups, the pending change has already sent doctors fleeing some health care plans, Forbes reported.


Why do we have a that coming up all the fucking time? Write the fucking thing out and we never have to hear about it again.





Marini -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/27/2012 9:42:15 PM)

quote:

Why do we have a that coming up all the fucking time? Write the fucking thing out and we never have to hear about it again.


What does this mean?
Throw something together to meet the deadline in 4 days?




TimeLimited -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/27/2012 10:12:46 PM)

US GOVERNMENT 101.
Well thought out is NOT in the capacity of the US CONGRESS regardless of party. There always one "special interest group" that will toss in any number of munkey wrenches.
THe fact is those with half a clue are rubberstamps of the output of those who are rubberstamps of a variety of special interests. The results that are passed and signed by a clueless head of state are a soup of GIGO.
They seldom read the bills they pass in any detail except to verify the new law will not apply to them.




DesideriScuri -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/28/2012 7:01:26 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: Marini
quote:

Why do we have a that coming up all the fucking time? Write the fucking thing out and we never have to hear about it again.

What does this mean?
Throw something together to meet the deadline in 4 days?


Not exactly. They can, in 4 days (or by the end of January, which is about as far as they can push the deadline as it sits), pass and extension and actually work on the permanent fix.

Why is the Doc Fix Bill passed yearly (or every time it's about to expire) to prevent the cuts from taking effect until that bill expires? Why waste the time writing yet another bill when they could write one bill removing the cuts from happening at all? Same with the AMT. Fix the fucking thing so you don't have to waste any more of their amazingly limited mental capabilities the next time it comes around?

Find the offending section(s) of the laws that created the cuts, and replace it with "The Hokey Pokey" lyrics. Done. No more wrangling, finagling, or arm twisting over it.

But, the problem is, that would remove leverage from one or both parties, and we know, that can't be done.




DarkSteven -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/28/2012 7:04:43 AM)

This absolutely blows my mind. These people are elected for one purpose only, and that's to craft and propose legislation. It's like hiring $200K/year engineers and watch them argue how to turn on a computer. I'm a rotten negotiator, and I could run rings around these doofuses. Admittedly, my goal would be to reach an agreement, and their goal is to avoid concessions, even at the expense of not agreeing...




erieangel -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/28/2012 8:21:15 PM)

The republicans aren't going to agree to anything that involves raising taxes, even on the wealthy. Except they are forgetting that they already agreed to raise taxes, when the legislation that created the fiscal cliff to begin with was voted on. I mean, hasn't it been the republicans the past 4 years who said letting the Bush tax cuts expire would be a tax increase? And they voted to let it happen!!!

Of course, many Americans don't have the brains they were born with and have forgotten how we got into this mess to begin with.






Marini -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/28/2012 9:50:40 PM)

Thanks for responding angel, I noticed this thread didn't get many responses, despite the fact the article, specifically laid out the possible consequences of what MIGHT happen if a deal is not made in 2 days.

That's okay, the board will be flooded with threads/responses if the proverbial shit starts hitting the fan next week.

Peace




DomKen -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/28/2012 9:58:39 PM)

While not usually included in the so called cliff if the House doesn't pass the farm bill by Jan. 1 all dairy prices will roughly double.




Marini -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/28/2012 10:16:54 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

While not usually included in the so called cliff if the House doesn't pass the farm bill by Jan. 1 all dairy prices will roughly double.


Good gravy!! Oh the humanity DK.




tj444 -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/28/2012 10:37:11 PM)

I suppose I really shouldnt say anything.. its really not my place.. so I really hesitate to post.. especially since I will likely get some flack (or maybe a lot of flack.. lol)

I keep scratching my head when Americans go on about their politicial system, you are always fighting fires & you go in circles, you keep shooting yourselves in the foot.. your system needs a major overhaul and to start over.. your system is just not working..

Wtf is a fiscal cliff???

I dont seem to recall this being a problem where I am from.. Comparing Canada to the US (or the US to Canada if you prefer that.. [:D] )

"Governments must lead by example when managing their own debt and spending. Low debt is the result of low spending. Federal government spending as a share of the overall economy is 15 per cent in Canada (2) and 24 per cent in the U.S. (3). The numbers are not merely the result of prodigious U.S. military spending, though that is certainly a factor. Non-military federal government spending is 14 per cent of Canada's economy (4), and 18 per cent of America's (5).
Just as cause equals effect, spending equals debt. Net government debt as a share of the Canadian economy is 36 per cent. In the U.S., it is 83 per cent. America's gross government debt is now bigger than the entire U.S. economy. According to the U.S. Treasury Department website, Mainland China holds $1.1 trillion of it. To quote Mark Steyn: "If the People's Republic carries on buying American debt at the rate it has in recent times, then within a few years U.S. interest payments on that debt will be covering the entire cost of the Chinese armed forces." "

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/pierre-poilievre/canadians-and-fiscal-cliff_b_2377518.html

You Americans have a big problem.. regardless of what happens in the next few days.. your problems are still not going to go away.. how far down the road can you keep pushing them, time and time again?? and just how ugly is that gonna eventually get?? [8|]

[sm=2cents.gif]




Marini -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/28/2012 11:00:04 PM)

quote:

You Americans have a big problem.. regardless of what happens in the next few days.. your problems are still not going to go away.. how far down the road can you keep pushing them, time and time again?? and just how ugly is that gonna eventually get??


More questions than answers, time will tell and we shall soon see.
For whom the bell tolls




DesideriScuri -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/29/2012 6:14:18 AM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: tj444
I suppose I really shouldnt say anything.. its really not my place.. so I really hesitate to post.. especially since I will likely get some flack (or maybe a lot of flack.. lol)
I keep scratching my head when Americans go on about their politicial system, you are always fighting fires & you go in circles, you keep shooting yourselves in the foot.. your system needs a major overhaul and to start over.. your system is just not working..
Wtf is a fiscal cliff???


Last year we went through a debt ceiling standoff and finally decided to get serious about our debt issues. A compromise bill was written to go into effect Jan. 1st 2013 that contained large cuts in spending to social service programs dear to Democrats, and to Defense spending, dear to Republicans. It was assumed that the cuts to dear programs (these cuts are referred to as "sequestration") would spur Congress to compromise on some sort of debt reduction plan.

The Bush tax cuts were extended across the board through 12/31/2012 as part of that bill, along with a 2% rate cut from the employee's share of the employment tax (which funds our Social Security Insurance) that was put in at Obama's behest.

So, the "fiscal cliff" is an increase in Federal income tax rates (return to the Clinton-era rates and brackets; which will hit almost everyone that files), and increase in the employment tax (which will hit every worker), and mandatory spending cuts to programs that are unsavory to one or both parties.

quote:

I dont seem to recall this being a problem where I am from.. Comparing Canada to the US (or the US to Canada if you prefer that.. [:D] )
"Governments must lead by example when managing their own debt and spending. Low debt is the result of low spending. Federal government spending as a share of the overall economy is 15 per cent in Canada (2) and 24 per cent in the U.S. (3). The numbers are not merely the result of prodigious U.S. military spending, though that is certainly a factor. Non-military federal government spending is 14 per cent of Canada's economy (4), and 18 per cent of America's (5).
Just as cause equals effect, spending equals debt. Net government debt as a share of the Canadian economy is 36 per cent. In the U.S., it is 83 per cent. America's gross government debt is now bigger than the entire U.S. economy. According to the U.S. Treasury Department website, Mainland China holds $1.1 trillion of it. To quote Mark Steyn: "If the People's Republic carries on buying American debt at the rate it has in recent times, then within a few years U.S. interest payments on that debt will be covering the entire cost of the Chinese armed forces." "

http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/pierre-poilievre/canadians-and-fiscal-cliff_b_2377518.html
You Americans have a big problem.. regardless of what happens in the next few days.. your problems are still not going to go away.. how far down the road can you keep pushing them, time and time again?? and just how ugly is that gonna eventually get?? [8|]
[sm=2cents.gif]


It has been pushed down the road for far too long. That being said, they'll kick that can as far down the road as they can. I've said it before that they keep kicking that can down the road, but it's getting heavier. Eventually, they are going to kick it down the road and they'll break their foot.

On a pure dollar basis, we are bringing in vast amounts of money, 4th most in US history if the 2012 projections play out, and the budget projections only show increasing revenues for years to come. By the end of Obama's second revenues are expected to be at all-time highs. Spending already is at or near all-time highs, and are expected to continue growing. When you read about talks to cut $4T in spending, that's $4T over 10 years, not annual spending. And, most of those cuts are "limits in spending increases," not actual cuts. So, if the budget for widgets was supposed to grow from $1T to $3T over 10 years, they might go in and say they'll limit it to only $2.5T - and, voila! - a half-trillion dollar spending cut is born. They can claim that widget spending is being cut, but it's still going to go up, and it's not really being cut. Plus, you'll see things like Clinton's Medicare overhaul that included a reduction in reimbursement rates for Medicare service providers that never actually goes into effect, though it's counted to pass the bill. To ward those reimbursement rate cuts, Congress passes a "Doc Fix" bill, every time the current one is about to expire.

Fiscal cliff primer. It isn't perfect, but you get the gist.




DarkSteven -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/29/2012 6:23:48 AM)

DesiderScuri's post is accurate but long. Lemme sum it up:

In order for the Dems and Reps to agree on anything whatsoever when it was critical for them to pass a funding bill, they deferred the hard decisions but made a whole bunch of nasty-tasting gotchas in the bill. They were intended to be so horrendous that no sane politicians would ever allow them to happen, and would make the tough decisions than. Republicans were also anticipating that the delay would find them in a better position politically after the 2012 election, which didn't happen the way they wanted. However, Congress is now so dysfunctional that they're unable to get out of the corner they've painted themselves into. Amazingly, this is over a spending bill when previously, this would take maybe a week of non-adversarial negotiation to accomplish routinely, and now it's an earth-shattering crisis that is almost unresolvable.




Marini -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/31/2012 1:58:03 PM)

Well, I heard part of President Obama's speech this afternoon.

Actually, with tomorrow being a federal holiday, they actually have about 30 or so hours left to make a deal.

President Obama states fiscal cliff deal is in sight

I guess those on the White House are continuing to play "Let's make a deal".
Happy New Year




defiantbadgirl -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/31/2012 2:39:03 PM)



The REPUBLICAN LED House of Representatives is deliberately refusing to vote before midnight on Fiscal Cliff deal.



http://news.yahoo.com/house-wont-vote-midnight-cliff-deal-211949353--politics.html




Marini -> RE: IF No Deal Made on Fiscal Cliff? 10 Things That May Hurt Us Jan.1. (12/31/2012 2:46:11 PM)

quote:

ORIGINAL: defiantbadgirl

The REPUBLICAN LED House of Representatives is deliberately refusing to vote before midnight on Fiscal Cliff deal.



http://news.yahoo.com/house-wont-vote-midnight-cliff-deal-211949353--politics.html


True dbg, BUT since tomorrow is a federal holiday/technically that gives them another 24 hours, before the "actual deadline".

We ALL know they are working very, very hard on New Years Eve and want to have a deal by the end of New Years Day!
lol
I did read that federal workers are being told to prepare for furloughs.

Federal workers brace for furloughs




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