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If the RNC would just realize that they dont have to Kowtow to the Religious fundies to keep them from voting Dem, they could do a lot more to attract Independents and OWN the election.

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ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

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If the RNC would just realize that they dont have to Kowtow to the Religious fundies to keep them from voting Dem, they could do a lot more to attract Independents and OWN the election.

Those religious fundies are rolling in cash, Hill. That's the issue.

If they were poor, they'd be among the demographics the Republicans largely ignore (at least historically).

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ORIGINAL: Moonhead

True enough.
The main reason Reagan started grovelling to the twats in the first place was to raise funds, wasn't it?

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ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam

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ORIGINAL: Moonhead

True enough.
The main reason Reagan started grovelling to the twats in the first place was to raise funds, wasn't it?

The hell of it is, he didn't need that money to beat Carter. There's another case of an incumbent messing up so badly that all the other side had to do was smile and count the votes.

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ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

Actually, the average IQ in America is 98, slightly below average.

http://sq.4mg.com/NationIQ.htm

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ORIGINAL: Musicmystery
That won't happen, because the Republican system, unlike the Democrats, is a winner-take-all approach, and as such, is designed to pick an early candidate. McCain is a good example...lack luster support from his own party, but the "clear" winner long before the convention.

So, whatever the mess (and yes, there is one), one candidate will have a majority of delegates; it would take an exact split of primary wins/delegates to be otherwise (and thus, extraordinarily unlikely).

What *will* happen, like last time, is that while one will win ("There can only be One..."), commentators will bitch about it and threaten to withhold their votes (like Coulter's "I'll vote for Hilary; she's more conservative than McCain"). Then on Election Day, they'll all vote for anything Republican.

The Circus will, however, hurt their chances with independent voters. But independent voters are hard to predict (presumably because they are, after all, independent).

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ORIGINAL: SilverBoat

Does anybody want to wager on the smoke-filled-room strategists plugging in Bachmann for VP, regardless of how little she tallies in the primaries? They already figure she's got a lock on fundi-christian voting bloc, and so far she hasn't imploded quite as obviously as Palin did.

GOP's pick for the Prez run seems harder to call ... Most of the delegates are only obliged to electoralish votes for 1st thru nth rounds, and there may be no clear majority ...

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Goggle Santorum, why don`t you?

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ORIGINAL: provfivetine

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ORIGINAL: Musicmystery
That won't happen, because the Republican system, unlike the Democrats, is a winner-take-all approach, and as such, is designed to pick an early candidate. McCain is a good example...lack luster support from his own party, but the "clear" winner long before the convention.

So, whatever the mess (and yes, there is one), one candidate will have a majority of delegates; it would take an exact split of primary wins/delegates to be otherwise (and thus, extraordinarily unlikely).

What *will* happen, like last time, is that while one will win ("There can only be One..."), commentators will bitch about it and threaten to withhold their votes (like Coulter's "I'll vote for Hilary; she's more conservative than McCain"). Then on Election Day, they'll all vote for anything Republican.

The Circus will, however, hurt their chances with independent voters. But independent voters are hard to predict (presumably because they are, after all, independent).

Someone isn't keeping up on their homework!

The following rule was adopted by the Republican Party back in August 2010....

"Any presidential primary, caucus, convention, or other meeting held for the purpose of selecting delegates to the national convention which occurs prior to the first day of April in the year in which the national convention is held, shall provide for the allocation of delegates on a proportional basis."

This means that delegates will be apportioned to candidates on a proportional basis in Republican caucuses/primaries before April 1st (excluding Florida). States are not allocating their delegates in the same way as 2008. Back in 2008, McCain did very well if those "winner take all" primaries, but nothing like that is going to happen in 2012. I still maintain that no one candidate has over 50% by the time the convention rolls around.

You can read more here, here, and here.