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lovmuffin -> RE: Republican Winning To Take Weiners Former Seat In This Blue NY District (9/14/2011 11:19:28 AM)
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ORIGINAL: Owner59
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ORIGINAL: lovmuffin
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ORIGINAL: TheHeretic
Hmmm. Safe seats just don't seem so safe, anymore. Now the election to replace Wu is basically the west side of Portland, Or. If that goes to a Republican too...
Spending, Social Security, and Israel might have been at the top of the polls, but rather obviously, a district that has gone D for decades was willing to even listen to a Republican to begin with, and then (according to AP's projection) actually elect one. I don't think it qualifies as a referendum, but it is a damn good indicator of mood.
I don't know, maybe not, but Turner ran on opposition to Obama policies, spending, telling voters he would work to eliminate regulations, the department of agriculture. scaling back the EPA and department of education. He ran as a conservative without being squishy about it as so many republicans do, especially in that part of the country. His opponent ran against the Tea Party. IMHO I'm calling it a referendum but certainly a damn good indicator of things to come.
Edited to add Turner claims this election was about President Obama.
No he didn`t.
He ran on who supported Israel more.
I think that falls under "Obama policies". While it was certainly a major issue, that's not all there was to it.
As far as the rest of your post that has nothing to do with mine I would have to say, "So What". If that election were being held today, would it have turned out the same I wonder. Yes it went in the democrats favor over the medicare issue. Now tell me something I don't know.
The race lost a few months ago where a dem took a safe con seat was run on SS and healthcare reform.
The dems won that seat on domestic policy,not foreign policy.
From Wikki
The district is traditionally a safe Republican seat, having been continuously represented by Republicans since Jack Kemp's election in 1970. Democrats had made serious, but unsuccessful, attempts to gain the seat with self-financed candidate Jack Davis in 2004 and 2006 as well as Alice Kryzan in 2008, but nominated only token opposition in 2010 when Philip Fedele ran.
[edit] Medicare
According to many observers, the campaign "turned into a referendum on the Republican plan to overhaul Medicare" because of Corwin's support for the Republican alternative budget proposed by Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), a proposal that would replace government-provided health care with partial subsidies for the cost of private medical insurance.[9] Hochul criticized the Ryan plan and supports the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, which Corwin wants to repeal completely.[10] Davis opposed both the Ryan plan and the Affordable Care Act.
[edit] Tea Party involvement
The local leaders of the Tea Party movement had divided their support between Republican nominee Jane Corwin, independent petitioner Jack Davis, and potential candidate David Bellavia. Jim Ostrowski, the leader of a libertarian-leaning tea party group (the Tea Party Coalition of WNY), endorsed Davis, criticizing Corwin for her lack of outreach to the Tea Party groups, and arranged to put the name "Tea" on Davis's ballot line.[11][12] TEA New York, a more mainstream Republican-leaning tea party group, was divided between Bellavia and Corwin, with several of its members backing Bellavia's ultimately unsuccessful petition campaign and others (the best known being gubernatorial nominee Carl Paladino) backing Corwin from the beginning.[13][14] After Bellavia failed to get onto the ballot, TEA New York endorsed Corwin. TEA New York refused to consider cross-endorsing Davis, mainly because of the use of the name "Tea Party" on Davis's ballot line (a tactic the Tea Party Coalition also used in the 2010 elections), to which he and numerous other Tea Party groups objected.[15] TEA New York, the Tea Party Express and numerous other Tea Party groups campaigned on behalf of Corwin and attempted to portray Davis as a "fake Tea Party" candidate.
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