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tazzygirl -> RE: Super Tuesday kinda.... (6/8/2010 1:48:41 PM)
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Im making no predictions, unlike you and Alex. But lets look at some facts.
quote:
The United States gubernatorial elections will be held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 in 37 states and two territories. Of the 39 elections total to be held, currently 20 seats are held by Democratic incumbents and 19 by Republican incumbents.
Of the Democratic held governorships up for election in 2010, 8 are held by incumbents who are term-limited, while 4 others are voluntarily choosing not to seek election or re-election.[1] Of the Republican held governorships up for election in 2010, 8 are held by incumbents who are term-limited, while 4 others are voluntarily choosing not to seek re-election.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_gubernatorial_elections,_2010
Thats 24 seats that will not go to an incumbent. !5 are left.
Elections to the United States Senate are scheduled to be held on November 2, 2010, for 36 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate. A special election for a 37th seat was held in Massachusetts on January 19, 2010, for a term that ends in January 2013.
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After the 2008 elections and their subsequent events, the Senate is composed of 57 Democrats, 41 Republicans, and two independents who caucus with the Democrats. Of the remaining seats currently up for election in 2010, 18 are held by Democrats (6 of whom are retiring) and 18 are held by Republicans (7 of whom are retiring).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2010
15 seats that wont be going to incumbents.
The 2010 United States House of Representatives elections will be held on November 2, 2010, halfway through President Barack Obama's first term in office. Elections will be held for all 435 seats, representing the 50 U.S. states. Elections also will be held for the delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five major U.S. territories. The only seat in the United States House of Representatives not up for election is that of the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico, who serves a four-year term and will next face election in 2012.
37 U.S. Representatives will retire at the end of their current term and 5 vacancies will be filled by special elections before November.
Retiring Democrats (17 incumbents)
Retiring Republicans (20 incumbents)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2010
Now, considering how all these seats are up for grabs without an incumbent, its pretty easy to say... "yep, the incumbents will lose a majority of their seats". They gave them up or served the ability of the term limit.
Take out those seats and lets see how the imcumbents do.
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