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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 7:58:21 PM   
rulemylife


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quote:

ORIGINAL: corysub


Possibly you might better understand the math if you saw each year of unemployment during the 1930's, a number that ranged between 14% and 19% for most of the decade.  I don't know what your hearing but in my neck of the woods people are getting nervous because the unemployment rate nationally is almost 8%...and you think 14% is wonderful??  What economists would considert that a job well done by our politicians?  Unless they replay W2 what chance would you give the democrat party if in two years the unemployment rate is 14%!...??  During this period there were food riots and communist organizers were aggressively recruiting.  There was a real possibility..as we are seeing today, for the economic and social system of the country to be totally turned upside down and go socialist. 

           Unemployment
Year     Rate
1933 - 24.9%

1234 - 21.7%

1935 - 20.1%

1936 - 17.0%

1937 - 14.3%

1938 - 19.0%

1939 - 17.2%

1940 - 14.6%

1941 - 9.9%

1942 - 4.7%

1943 - 1.9%

1944 - 1.2%
                                                
While the economy recovered somewhat from  1933 depressed levels,  the unemployment rate remained in the 15 percent range for the rest of the decade since population growth in the workforce exeeded the growth in the economy.


The economy recovered quite substantially, unless you think a reduction from 24.9% to 14.6% (pre-war) is not a major accomplishment after the greatest economic crisis in modern history.

Your numbers don't support your argument, so now you are trying to say that 14% was still too high.  Of course it was, but progress was being made in the right direction. 

The GDP went consistently up and unemployment went steadily down.  The only exceptions being '38 and '39 when many of the New Deal programs were cut in a budget-balancing effort.

Looking at the beginning and ending numbers in both categories shows the progress made in his first two terms and, as I've said earlier, there is no reason to believe that progress would not have continued even without the war.



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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 8:02:21 PM   
Vendaval


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Fast Reply -
 
Both the New Deal and the WW2  economy were essential in improving the U.S. economy.  Another factor to consider is the large migration of rural people especially from Oklahoma and Texas in the Dust Bowl area to other states and major cities.  The demographics of the U.S. went through major changes.

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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 8:04:04 PM   
rulemylife


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quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

No..no you don't get to change the terms of the debate. The debate is depression or recession as measured SOLELY by GDP. In 1936 we set a record GDP.


I'm not changing it, just responding to his post.



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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 8:18:46 PM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity


One musn't forget either, that the "lend-lease" project started well before we entered the war and that "lend-lease" gave America's industrial base a tremendous kick start which really got us moving.

The very indusrtrial base current Democrats would love to shut down in order to save the rock, er, planet.

All praise Algore. 

quote:

ORIGINAL: ScooterTrash

Rule, I think the point is that yes it improved, but it didn't recover to what it was prior to the depression with the "new deal". Kind of like "yes, we found some tumors and you've improved, but you're still dying". Many historians state that the war had more of a positive influence on the economy than the new deal projects, although one would have to assume it had enough of a positive influence to get us through to that point.


Yes and that industrial base was the military the strength of which ranked at the bottom of national and particularly naval power among all of the powers of the world.

Hell, in the 1930's either Japan or Austria had the largest naval armadas.

Once we started up for the war...of course everything improved, wars are very profitable. By the spring of 1943 as Standard Oil was selling fuel to the Nazis, we were delivering 150 bombers a day. Good thing ha ?

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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 8:29:08 PM   
MarsBonfire


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Well, building all those Bombers, (and fighting in the war itself) was just "work" not jobs. Once the Bomb dropped on Japan, all those government jobs came to a stopping point. Yeah, too bad that government "work" can't be as safe and secure as those in the private sector these days... (ring, ring) Hello? Oh, I guess I need to go see my boss... he want's to talk to me about something of "grave importance"... funny... I wonder what that could be about... strange that so many people are taking such long lunches today... I'm beginning to wonder if they're coming ba....  (uh-oh...)

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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 8:37:23 PM   
TheUtopian


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quote:


But cons wish to revise history and call the New Deal a failure.


They also like to revise how both the official CPI and Unemployment rates are actually calculated





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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 9:03:52 PM   
corysub


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quote:

ORIGINAL: rulemylife

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

No..no you don't get to change the terms of the debate. The debate is depression or recession as measured SOLELY by GDP. In 1936 we set a record GDP.


I'm not changing it, just responding to his post.




Than I guess your right.  FDR took us out of the "depression"...since we saw a recovery in GDP following the "New Deal" stimulus.  Three cheers for GDP growth..and all those people who suffered through the 1930's out work and hungry should have eaten some GDP.

I wonder why Obama keeps talking about adding 4 million jobs in his trillion dollar plan when he should be discussing GDP growth?  Now I'm confused....! 

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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 9:11:24 PM   
Owner59


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yup

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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 9:26:21 PM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: corysub

quote:

ORIGINAL: rulemylife

quote:

ORIGINAL: MrRodgers

No..no you don't get to change the terms of the debate. The debate is depression or recession as measured SOLELY by GDP. In 1936 we set a record GDP.


I'm not changing it, just responding to his post.

Than I guess your right.  FDR took us out of the "depression"...since we saw a recovery in GDP following the "New Deal" stimulus.  Three cheers for GDP growth..and all those people who suffered through the 1930's out work and hungry should have eaten some GDP.

I wonder why Obama keeps talking about adding 4 million jobs in his trillion dollar plan when he should be discussing GDP growth?  Now I'm confused....! 

If you really want my opinion, I'll tell you. Because the dems are a party of the people and the repubs are the party of capital. The dems get to office feeling as if they should provide good jobs for the people.

The repubs are much more interested in 'economic growth' (GDP) than employment growth and feel their job is to either lower corporate taxes under the ruse that it creates jobs when history has shown it NEVER does or deregulate their paper speculation which is always what gets us in trouble.

The dems want good paying jobs for labor and have throughout history outnumbered repubs because jobs means votes and the repubs can't buy them much as they'd like to try.

So now you know why Obama talks jobs.

< Message edited by MrRodgers -- 2/9/2009 9:33:24 PM >

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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 9:55:17 PM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: MarsBonfire

Well, building all those Bombers, (and fighting in the war itself) was just "work" not jobs. Once the Bomb dropped on Japan, all those government jobs came to a stopping point. Yeah, too bad that government "work" can't be as safe and secure as those in the private sector these days... (ring, ring) Hello? Oh, I guess I need to go see my boss... he want's to talk to me about something of "grave importance"... funny... I wonder what that could be about... strange that so many people are taking such long lunches today... I'm beginning to wonder if they're coming ba....  (uh-oh...)

Actually govt. work now in civil service is one of the best jobs in the world. I am not really sure of your point but those jobs were jobs...just like any other jobs. Those jobs trained millions and they went into manufacturing of consumer goods and electronics after the war.

There are those that will tell you the 50's were truly America's hey-dey. We were no. 1 in...everything.

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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/9/2009 10:50:01 PM   
ThatDamnedPanda


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Sanity


One musn't forget either, that the "lend-lease" project started well before we entered the war and that "lend-lease" gave America's industrial base a tremendous kick start which really got us moving.

The very indusrtrial base current Democrats would love to shut down in order to save the rock, er, planet.

All praise Algore. 


I'm thinking the likelihood of England needing any more destroyers from us anytime in the near future is probably pretty low, but don't let that stop you from dragging Al Gore into this somehow.


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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/10/2009 1:25:40 AM   
ScooterTrash


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I agree about the civil service workers, but I am assuming that was not the workforce being referred to. Regarding wartime goods, a large majority of the wartime workforce went back home to be housewives, they had assumed the role of factory worker in the absence of the men who were in the military. Automotive plants were producing wartime goods and after the war they consequently went back to producing automobiles. The returning "boys" went back to their jobs at the automotive plants and things pretty much returned to usual. I do agree that this was a jumping off point however for a large percentage of the female population, who proved themselves as competent workers and many of them stayed in the workforce, which did allow for a substantial amount of manufacturing growth.

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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/10/2009 1:27:29 AM   
Vendaval


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And add in the increased demand in household goods cause by a major population spike + increased home ownership from the GI Bill.

_____________________________

"Beware, the woods at night, beware the lunar light.
So in this gray haze we'll be meating again, and on that
great day, I will tease you all the same."
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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/10/2009 4:33:46 AM   
corysub


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

yup


Ok...so as I begin to understand the economics of the left, we should all pray that the Pelosi/Obama "Democrat Party Recovery Act of 2009" is as successful as the FDR "New Deal".  Hey nothing wrong with unemployment going to 22% and collapse to 17% with the "success" of the FDR make work programs, errrr..rise again to 19% when the spanking new government WPA projects were about done and no "non-government jobs" were created..although we now had more skilled hod carriers, and than trended back towards that 14% IN 1940 as war production started to get geared up...a steller "trend"  since FDR raised his hand and took possession of the Oval Office.  Of course some of those "jobs" were guys working in the Civilian Conservation Corp for $1.00 a day as some in my family did...

I'm sorry if I don't seem greateful but I finally think I can see the difference between the enlightend economic philosphy of the left and mine..."I see a buck of shit as a bucket of shit..a liberal sees a bucket of shit as fertilizer for their organic garden".  Well...about a trillion dollars worth of shit is coming your way and your "liberal garden is going to bloom.  Yep..our new President has a "green thumb"....and its our green money he is going to use to grow his garden.  

Edited to apologize for a very long intro sentence.  but all I have left to save are semi-colons, and periods.


< Message edited by corysub -- 2/10/2009 4:35:35 AM >

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RE: Debunking the failure of FDR's New Deal - 2/10/2009 4:57:39 AM   
MrRodgers


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quote:

ORIGINAL: corysub

quote:

ORIGINAL: Owner59

yup


Ok...so as I begin to understand the economics of the left, we should all pray that the Pelosi/Obama "Democrat Party Recovery Act of 2009" is as successful as the FDR "New Deal".  Hey nothing wrong with unemployment going to 22% and collapse to 17% with the "success" of the FDR make work programs, errrr..rise again to 19% when the spanking new government WPA projects were about done and no "non-government jobs" were created..although we now had more skilled hod carriers, and than trended back towards that 14% IN 1940 as war production started to get geared up...a steller "trend"  since FDR raised his hand and took possession of the Oval Office.  Of course some of those "jobs" were guys working in the Civilian Conservation Corp for $1.00 a day as some in my family did...

I'm sorry if I don't seem greateful but I finally think I can see the difference between the enlightend economic philosphy of the left and mine..."I see a buck of shit as a bucket of shit..a liberal sees a bucket of shit as fertilizer for their organic garden".  Well...about a trillion dollars worth of shit is coming your way and your "liberal garden is going to bloom.  Yep..our new President has a "green thumb"....and its our green money he is going to use to grow his garden.  

Edited to apologize for a very long intro sentence.  but all I have left to save are semi-colons, and periods.

Well once the capitalist scum on wall street blew things up and got about a $trillion in some 'free-market' [sic] socialism...ALL BETS ARE OFF.

Capitalism has lost it socialist cherry and are now for all history will be the govt. hand-out, money sluts of all time. They all too clearly demonstrate their values when they then take OUR money and declare dividends, bonuses and buy other banks. What a deal.

Come on kinkroids, the only difference between wall street and Madoff was Madoff couldn't run to the treasury for a hand-out.

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