Termyn8or
Posts: 18681
Joined: 11/12/2005 Status: offline
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The poker analogy isn't bad, but let's use real poker. Holdem is not really poker as far as I am concerned, and neither are games with too many wildcards. Seven card stud qualifies, but in my book, just barely. The best way to describe holdem is a bastardised version of nine card stud but the up cards are common. At least in seven card stud, if you are playing with six or seven people, by the time you get to the end of the hand you can see maybe thirty of the cards in the deck. Not so with holdem. So let's take it from straight poker, Jacks or better, nothing wild. You get your hand, you bet. You draw, then you bet or fold. In some cases you fold right away, in which case you only lose your ante. Most people go for the draw, even if they take four cards, I generally do not, and I win. If I have to draw four cards I know the odds are about the same as the first time around, well not quite as good. Another good trick is to not open when you can, but only do this if you are among the first in turn and there are more than three players. Most people understand poker like they understand cars - you put the key in here and turn it, this lever makes it go frontwards and backwards and that pedal makes it go and the other makes it stop. They know nothing of the real workings of the thing. Now take a poor boy, and we were when I was young, but did get a few breaks, I had a car. When it broke down I opened the hood, a rich boy would just call a garage alot of times. People who come to the poker table who would raise ad infinitum to basically buy the pot are not testing their skill. For the game to be fair, stakes must be within a certain range. When you have five guys and one has ten times the money the rest have, this can happen. It is this disparity that gives the small investor a huge disadvantage in life. A large investor can dump alot of a certain stock, and by the time the peons catch up selling, at deflated prices I might add, the big money players have already made their's. That's why if I ever decided to play the stock market I would mainly short stocks, I would look for weaknesses, possible follies in the future. However now they have a bunch more regulations concerning that practice, so screw that too, I want no part of it. Now back to McCain basically folding in Michigan. It could be said that he should have not bet so much, or that he waited too long to fold. I am also not so pleased with the fact that Obama partly gets by because of his voice and skill at using it. I have heard some very good things, and I have heard some crap. I only want Obama in because he wants out of Iraq and that his ol boy network is a different one than has been running the show for too long now. With a new Atty Gen and some new faces in the GAO and such, they might find out where some of this money went. So you are voting for : A. Change possible, not guaranteed or B. Change impossible, guaranteed. T
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