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DomAviator -> RE: Stats: foreclosures will continue regardless who wins White House (7/7/2008 1:10:24 AM)
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Owner, and from adversity comes opportunity.... If and when home prices plummet because of those foreclosures - snap them up at bargain prices and rent them out until you can sell them at a nifty little profit. I could give a shit about my equity, because my home isnt something I will ever borrow against for any reason whatsoever. That right there is a good part of what has gotten people in trouble and led to foreclosures... If anything a decline in market prices will get me the ammo I need to go appeal my property tax assessment so Ill pay less... I would love a decline in prices... Who gives a shit how much the value of one individual piece of real estate is? Its the bottom line that counts. Lower prices mean more parcels in your portfolio and hence diversification in case a neighborhood goes bad or you had an unexpected loss on a particular property. For a round #, $180,000 in real estate is $180,000 whether that is in one property or three $60K homes. Real estate isnt liquid its long term, so I dont give a fuck what todays price is Im worried about what the price is 20 years out. Funny thing about real estate - they aint making any more of it! It will ALWAYS go up. My neighborhood used to be a fucking trailer park. Literally, it was trailers and fishing shanties by the bay until one day people said HMMMM, theres no more room in Brittany Bay and the prices are into 7 figures now - lets tear down all these fucking shacks and start putting up 4000+ sq foot homes instead of leaving those fucking shanties there. On the north side of Houston there was a mosquito infested swamp that is now called "The Woodlands" and there is a Mercedes in every driveway. Property will always increase in value over the long term so a drop in prices means buy it, hold it, and retire rich! As for the whole signature loan / hard money lending industry - thats NOT Bush and it is still no matter how you slice it the stupidity of the buyers. It has worked that way in aviation for years and years and years... If you pick up an issue of Trade-A-Plane you will see they have a whole category of "Aircraft Financing" ads most of which say "No Credit Check" "Asset Based Financing" "Same Day Wire Transfer" "We Finance Everyone With One Call" "Credit Not A Factor" or something to that effect. (Most pilots / aviation people have multiple divorces behind us, keep assets in corporations and LLC's, and use every legal trick possible to understate our net worth so our personal credit is an absolute shambles. ) Most of these lenders do minimum loans of $250,000 Allied does $50,000 to $30,000,000 on a signature alone without so much as a consumer credit check. Work as a bagger at Shoprite and want your own LearJet 24? Not a problem you can get it... Of course you better be able to come up with $3000 each time for the 300, 600, 1200 and 2400 hour inspections, and $2000 each time for the six and 12 month inspections and $5000 for the 6,000 landing inspection and $40,000 shop rate + whatever the radiographer charges for the 12,000 hour inspection, and fuel and crew and hangar and insurance and engine reserve and avionics reserve and crew recurrency training and insurance and landing fees etc etc etc... Yet oddly enough, despite the way the loans are made, the market isnt saturated with reposessed aircraft like it is in the mortgage world... Why is that? Because idiots arent running around buying Learjets they cant afford. So clearly, since the same lending model is used on aircraft that cost substantially more than most homes, the problem is the home buyers purchasing what they cannot afford! Id love to have a Learjet, thats on my "when I win lotto list", and if I were to call FreedomAero, JODA, Allied, Air Capital Nevada, The Mancus Group or any of a dozen other lenders I would have the money wired to the seller the very same day... However, I am intelligent enough to recognize that while I could acquire it on a signature loan, I would not be able to afford to keep it! Instead, I make my money managing them for those that can afford them and I keep myself content with a 4 seat Cessna that only costs $100 an hour to operate... You love to blame Bush, but this isnt him. The lending industry has been doing it for decades on big ticket items like aircraft, ships, heavy equipment etc...It has worked well there. Then some greedy idiot decided to try it on the general public forgetting that the average citizen is a fucking moron with so little financial saavy that they actually pay a bored housewife at some tax prep place to do their income tax return and they think they can rack up credit card debt oblivious to the fact that after the dance, you gotta pay the band... It is easy to blame the govt for every bad thing that happens in your life, but its not a govt problem. People need to cowboy up and take responsibility for their own actions, purchases, and decisions. The govt had jack shit to do with the purchase of my home, except for the Harris county clerk who recorded the transfer on the lot and the code enforcement officer who issued the building permit. Every bad business decision I have ever made in my life has been mine, not whoever the President was at the time... Have I always come out on top? Fuck no! One time I had a brain fart, read the wrong line on the print out, and bought a worthless unbuildable lot at a tax sale instead of the piece that I actually wanted! Was it the presidents fault that I didnt use a ruler and a hilighter? No it was mine and mine alone... Personal accountability is a wonderful thing... Just some well intentioned advice - if you would stop obsessing over "Bush" (who on Jan 20th will retire to his ranch and chop firewood for the rest of his days) and the evil "neocons" screwing everyone you would be able to see and seize the opportunities that exist. Things arent as bad as they seem when youre not blinded by hatred. Whenever a door closes another opens, and there is money to be made from these foreclosures and natural economic setbacks...Everyone foreclosed out of a home is going to need to live somewhere, so its a great time to become a landlord on some of the cheaper properties.. Hell, the high fuel prices have me thinking of buying a bigger boat because the prices are plummeting. What will I do with the one I already have? Sell it to someone with owner financing, then if need be reposess it after six months and sell it again and again and again if Im lucky I can sell it six times before someone actually sucessfully pays it off... Why do you think people do "rent to own" contracts on homes? You get to keep the downpayment and any payments made before the default....
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