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Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 12:30:45 PM   
cyberdude611


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-------------------------------------------
Sept. 30 (Bloomberg) -- Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich cited federal campaign finance laws as the reason he won't run for the Republican presidential nomination, saying the current system precludes a ``middle-class candidate.''
 
Gingrich said on ABC's ``This Week'' program that legal opinions he sought led him to conclude he can't run for president and lead American Solutions for Winning the Future, a tax-exempt group he established earlier this year that focuses on security, education, immigration and energy issues.
 
``We were informed yesterday morning that if I had any communication with American Solutions after I became a candidate, it was a criminal offense,'' Gingrich said.
 
Nine candidates are vying for the 2008 Republican nomination and Gingrich, 64, had been considering a bid for the past several months. He said today that while he already had taken some preparatory steps toward a campaign and had pledges of support from contributors, he had no regrets about not running.
 
It would be ``irresponsible'' to ``give up and kill an organization we spent a year on and that had 2,000 sites around the country where people had now invested their time and effort just to look at whether or not you could run,'' Gingrich said.
 
Speaking on Fox News, Gingrich said the 2002 campaign finance law known as McCain-Feingold that would have forced him to sever ties with his advocacy group, which also raises money, is a ``censorship and anti-citizenship act.''
 
``If you're a middle class candidate, you get to raise $2,300 a person and if you're rich, you can write a $100 million personal check,'' he said.
 
Financial Commitments
 
He said he already had commitments for ``several million dollars'' in donations for his own presidential run. ``But what hit me was it would have been an underdog campaign,'' Gingrich said on ABC, adding, ``I think we would have had a chance to win.''
 
Gingrich, who served 10 terms in the U.S. House of Representatives from Georgia, said he would not endorse any other candidate. He has been critical of the Republican Bush administration's approach to war, immigration policy, health care and response to crises such as Hurricane Katrina.
 
He said Senator Hillary Clinton of New York, a Democrat, has an 80 percent chance of becoming the next U.S. president. ``The Clinton machine is the most powerful political machine in modern America,'' he said.
 
Break With Past
 
Gingrich said his party needs to make a break with the recent past in order to keep the White House in 2008.
 
``Republicans have got to get out from under Washington,'' he said. ``And if we nominate somebody who is a continuation of where we are right now, we're going to lose.''
 
Two of the leading Republican contenders, former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, ``are beginning to articulate really dramatic change'' in the campaign, Gingrich said.
 
Gingrich led the House for four years after helping his party win control of Congress in 1994 for the first time in 40 years. He was an architect of the ``Contract with America,'' a pledge to bring 10 major issues to the House floor within the first 100 days of Republican House control. He stepped down after he was widely blamed for the Republicans' loss of five House seats in the November 1998 elections.
 
http://news.yahoo.com/s/bloomberg/20070930/pl_bloomberg/allbjsmtady4_1
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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 12:36:04 PM   
pahunkboy


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even if u hate hillery one has to admit she is smart.

ild vote for her. tho she is still the establishment and in bed w corporations. shtt.

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 1:00:09 PM   
popeye1250


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quote:

ORIGINAL: pahunkboy

even if u hate hillery one has to admit she is smart.

ild vote for her. tho she is still the establishment and in bed w corporations. shtt.


If she's so smart then why didn't she stick with "cattle futures?"
She'd be a billionaire by now.
I'd rather chew on tinfoil than vote for that no good bitch.
Shit, I may have to vote Republican.
I do like Ron Paul and Mitt Romney though.
Wouldn't a Romney/Clinton matchup be interesting!
Ms "dirty" and Mr "squeeky clean."

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 1:07:53 PM   
pahunkboy


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unfortunately no corporate shill has a chance so it is lesser then the 2 evils.  if she picks obama as VP- she has a chance. watch carefully what walmart says. when they said overy penny gas goes up they lose x amount of sales- they likely will buy and pay for their choice as prez.

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 1:13:21 PM   
Owner59


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 The republicans are so wishy-washy on their own candidates,that they need someone like Hillary to "energize the base",as they put it.

Hillary is the only person that that seems to do that.I think this "Hillary for president" strategy, is move of desperation.


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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 2:45:51 PM   
CuriousLord


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I'll tell you one thing.. if Hillary wins, the birth rate in the US will go down.  And not just because of all the abortions.

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 4:59:37 PM   
UtopianRanger


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Yanno....I think I've mentioned this before:  About ten percent of the time Newt Gingrich has some truly brilliant ideas /things to say - The other ninety percent of the time he needs to sit in the corner with a pointed dunce cap on.



- R

< Message edited by UtopianRanger -- 9/30/2007 5:00:28 PM >


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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 5:33:55 PM   
Owner59


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quote:

ORIGINAL: UtopianRanger

Yanno....I think I've mentioned this before:  About ten percent of the time Newt Gingrich has some truly brilliant ideas /things to say - The other ninety percent of the time he needs to sit in the corner with a pointed dunce cap on.



- R


Even a broken clock,is right twice a day.

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 5:35:01 PM   
Pyrrsefanie


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quote:

ORIGINAL: pahunkboy
even if u hate hillery one has to admit she is smart.


So are most serial killers.

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 5:37:37 PM   
Alumbrado


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Yeah, but she's not just any serial killer, now is she?

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 6:04:32 PM   
pahunkboy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Pyrrsefanie

quote:

ORIGINAL: pahunkboy
even if u hate hillery one has to admit she is smart.


So are most serial killers.

LOL. good point. anyhow energise the base? i think the base is weary of the lack of talent. the best and brightest- where are they? this is all we can choose from?  evgerthing is bought. consider how biz will contribute to both sides....

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 8:24:12 PM   
OrionTheWolf


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GODDAMMIT!!!!

I guess I will have to vote republican by default if Hillary wins the Dem nomination. I hate having just two viable choices. This party system really needs to be fixed.

Orion

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 9/30/2007 8:25:23 PM   
dcnovice


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quote:

I hate having just two viable choices.


Two viable choices is more than we get in many elections, alas.

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 10/1/2007 8:45:39 AM   
pahunkboy


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[wonders where Lou Dobbs is] he has been gone a few weeks now. they said a bad throat or something.

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 10/1/2007 9:56:00 AM   
domiguy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: pahunkboy

[wonders where Lou Dobbs is] he has been gone a few weeks now. they said a bad throat or something.


You can only spew so much bullshit before you need to give your throat a rest.....I wonder what will be his next most "important issue" when the people of this land realize that the immigration issue is no longer relevant....He's a shill.

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 10/1/2007 12:05:42 PM   
cyberdude611


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quote:

ORIGINAL: pahunkboy

[wonders where Lou Dobbs is] he has been gone a few weeks now. they said a bad throat or something.


Tonsillitis

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 10/1/2007 10:16:58 PM   
SuzanneKneeling


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Actually cyberdude, if you go to www.intrade.com, you can see what political futures are being traded at. Right now, for instance, Hillary's chances at being the next president are trading at exactly 43.7%. This is based on people putting large amounts of money where their mouths (and hours of careful, informed analysis) are, rather than just talking out of their asses, as Mr. Gingrich is doing.

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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 10/1/2007 10:52:12 PM   
UtopianRanger


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quote:

ORIGINAL: SuzanneKneeling

Actually cyberdude, if you go to www.intrade.com, you can see what political futures are being traded at. Right now, for instance, Hillary's chances at being the next president are trading at exactly 43.7%. This is based on people putting large amounts of money where their mouths (and hours of careful, informed analysis) are, rather than just talking out of their asses, as Mr. Gingrich is doing.



Suzanne :   Excellent post and good information.


Looks to me like the best bet on the whole board is that John McCain will roll down his sleeves early and bow out.




- R





- R


_____________________________

"If you are going to win any battle, you have to do one thing. You have to make the mind run the body. Never let the body tell the mind what to do... the body is never tired if the mind is not tired."

-General George S. Patton


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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 10/6/2007 5:44:01 AM   
Manawyddan


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The Republics ought to pray that Hillary wins the election, because it will guarantee them a landslide in 2012.

And I think a Clinton/Obama ticket is a terrible idea ... separately they might be able to distance themselves from their 'novelty factors' but together it would be a mess.

I am fearing the next election.

If Ron Paul runs from the Republic Party (slim chance I know), I will vote for a Republic candidate.

If anyone other than Hillary Clinton runs from the Democratic Party, I will vote for a Democratic candidate (well, unless it's Al Gore).

If it's between Clinton and any other Republican, I will probably vote third party.



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RE: Gingrich says Hillary has 80% chance of winning - 10/6/2007 7:24:08 AM   
OrionTheWolf


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Mitt Romney may not be a bad alternative if Hillary is the Dem candidate, but if it comes down to Hillary and Gulliani, then I will likely vote third party as well. We need a Moderate party so everyone in the center has a choice.

Orion



quote:

ORIGINAL: Manawyddan

The Republics ought to pray that Hillary wins the election, because it will guarantee them a landslide in 2012.

And I think a Clinton/Obama ticket is a terrible idea ... separately they might be able to distance themselves from their 'novelty factors' but together it would be a mess.

I am fearing the next election.

If Ron Paul runs from the Republic Party (slim chance I know), I will vote for a Republic candidate.

If anyone other than Hillary Clinton runs from the Democratic Party, I will vote for a Democratic candidate (well, unless it's Al Gore).

If it's between Clinton and any other Republican, I will probably vote third party.




_____________________________

When speaking of slaves people always tend to ignore this definition "One who is abjectly subservient to a specified person or influence."

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